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Resolution 14472CITY OF ALAMEDA RESOLUTION NO. ? 44`72 DENYING A MODIFIED OPTIONAL ENTITLEMENT APPLICATION INCLUDING A GENERAL PLAN AMENDMENT, ZONING AMENDMENT, MASTER PLAN, AND DEVELOPMENT AGREEMENT PROPOSED BY SCC ALAMEDA POINT LLC. (PLNI 0-001 . WHEREAS, the state legislature recognized the economic and social 745 s degradation faced by communities with military bases that were ordered to be closed by the federal Base Closure Commission, and in Health & Safety Code Sec, 33492.125 et seq. authorized the City of Alameda to adopt a redevelopment plan covering the lands of the Alameda Naval Air Station to mitigate the very serious economic effects of the base closure; and WHEREAS, Health & Safety Code Sec. 33492.11 authorized the finding of blight in closed military bases and the City Council in Ordinance No. 2754 found the Alameda Naval Air Station a blighted area; and WHEREAS, the City of Alameda adopted the NAS Community Reuse Plan in 1996 which established guiding policies, objectives and goals for the redevelopment of a portion of the 960 acres of uplands and 673 acres of submerged lands that comprise the former Naval Air Station at Alameda Point ( "Alameda Point "); and WHEREAS, as the City of Alameda adopted a comprehensive General Plan Amendment in 2003 which incorporated the Community Reuse Plan policies, objectives and goals for the redevelopment of Alameda Point into the City's General Plan; and WHEREAS, the Community Reuse Plan and General Plan goals, policies and objectives represent the community's guiding principles for the redevelopment of Alameda Point; and WHEREAS, in July 2007, the Alameda Reuse and Redevelopment Authority ( Community Improvement Commission ( "CIC "), and the City of Alameda (together "Alameda ") approved an Exclusive Negotiation Agreement ("ENA ") with SCC Alameda Point LLC (SunCal), as the Master Developer for the redevelopment of Alameda Point; and WHEREAS, the purpose and intent of the ENA is to provide a timeframe and framework for exclusive negotiations between Alameda and SunCal concerning the terms of agreements and planning documents (including a finalized Navy Term Sheet, a disposition and development agreement, a project pro forma, and development and infrastructure plans) and preparation of and use entitlement applications for the redevelopment of Alameda Point for consideration by Alameda; and WHEREAS, in October 2008, the ENA was amended, at SunCal's request, to allow SunCal to pursue an initiative approving a non - Measure -A compliant project for Alameda Point; and WHEREAS, pursuant to the ENA, in January 2009, SunCal submitted an Optional Entitlement Application for consideration by Alameda in the event Measure B was defeated; WHEREAS, SunCal's initiative, "Measure B," appeared on a special election ballot in February 2010 and was rejected by the Alameda voters by a margin of 85.4% to 14.6%; and WHEREAS, subsequent to the defeat of Measure B, SunCal submitted the Modified Optional Entitlement Application ( "Modified OEA ") requesting approval of an amendment to the City of Alameda General Plan, an amendment to the City of Alameda Municipal Code and Zoning Ordinance Amendment including adoption of a Master Plan, and approval of a Development Agreement; and WHEREAS, on July 20, 2010, the City Council of the City of Alameda held a public hearing on SunCat's application for approval of the Modified OEA examined pertinent reports, plans, maps and other documents, and considered the testimony and written comments received. NOW, THEREFORE, the City Council makes the following findings and determinations concerning the Modified DEA A. Th e Modified OEA and Project Uncertainty 1. The Modified . DEA requests text and map amendments to the City of Alameda General Plan, adoption of a new Alameda Point Community Plan, text and map amendments to the City of Alameda Zoning Ordinance, approval of an Alameda Point Master Plan, and adoption of a Development Agreement pursuant to California Government Code sections 65864 et seq. These text and map amendments include a proposed new General Plan land use classification of "Alameda Point Master Plan" for the project site, and a rezoning of the project site to "MX, Mixed Use Planned Development District." 2. The proposed project described in the Modified OEA consists of the "Base Project" and the "Density Bonus Option" under which the residential density of the Proposed Project would be increased pursuant to the City's Density Bonus Ordinance. The Modified OEA proposes a mixed -use land use program with residential, commercial, retail, hotel, civic, public trust, marina and parkland uses. It also includes a range of public transportation improvements, including relocation of the ferry terminal, a bus rapid transit (BRT) system, and transportation demand management measures. The Modified OEA presents essentially the same land use program as the Measure B initiative, with the exception of an increased amount of commercial development, one acre of additional park and the inclusion of sustainable uses, such as a solar farm, in the Northwest Territories. 3. The Base Project consists of up to 3,712 residential units and up to 4.57 million square feet of commercial development on the project site. The residential density across the project site under the Base Project would generally range from 4 to 19 dwelling units per acre. Under the Density Bonus Option, SunCal seeks the right to increase the overall project density of the project by approximately 30% for a total of 4,845 residential units. However, no minimum development obligations, either for housing or commercial development, are provided. 4. The Modified OEA provides minimal certainty about how the property will ultimately be developed. Many specifics about number, location and density of residential units, amount and type of commercial development, site design, the transportation system, and sustainability measures have not been provided. This uncertainty makes it extremely difficult to plan appropriately for infrastructure, transportation and traffic, City services and other key project elements. It also makes public financing — in the form of assessment or community facilities districts, tax increment bonds, and affordable housing bonds -- very difficult to implement and administer in order to ensure timely and adequate funding for infrastructure and services. 5. There is also substantial uncertainty regarding the relative timing of development of the residential and commercial components of the project. The timing of the residential and commercial components relative to each other can result in widely differing impacts on the jobs /housing balance, traffic congestion, public financing, transportation and infrastructure needs and provision of City services. The Modified OEA establishes maximum development capacity for each phase, but does not link development of housing to commercial development. Under the Modified ()EA, the housing units could be built in each phase up to the maximum allowed without any commitment or requirement to provide the associated commercial development that is necessary to create jobs and is essential to a mixed -use development. 6. The Modified OEA ensures maximum flexibility for future developers of Alameda Point to respond to future market conditions and avoids or delays commitments regarding specific land uses, design requirements, infrastructure, services, or operations. While a certain degree of flexibility is necessary to enable the master developer and vertical builders to respond to changing market conditions, the Modified OEA does not provide sufficient upfront commitment regarding the actual project SunCal intends to develop despite the requests of staff, the Council and Board and the community. Many of the build -out scenarios possible under the Modified OEA are not consistent with the community's guiding principles for Alameda Point. 7. These deficiencies in the Modified OEA reflect important differences in objectives between the City and SunCal. The Modified DEA maximizes flexibility and minimizes commitments that could result in future costs and limitations on vertical developers, which could ultimately affect the sales price of land. While Alameda has acknowledged the need for flexibility to account for changing market and technical conditions over the life of a long- term project, a balance needs to be struck between flexibility and provision of meaningful commitments to the community. The Modified DEA does not reflect that balance. B. Econo mic Development and Jobs /Housing Balance 1. The need for a mixed -use plan for Alameda Point that replaces the jobs lost when the Naval Air Station was closed has been repeatedly emphasized in all planning documents relating to Alameda Point, including the 1996 Community Reuse Plan, the 2003 General Plan Amendment and the 2006 Preliminary Development Concept (PDC). Section 9.1 of the General Plan provides that redevelopment should create a mixed -use environment at Alameda Point, result in replacement of jobs lost due to cessation of Naval operations and foster economic growth and development that benefits the community at large. Studies prepared by the Metropolitan Transportation Commission, State of California (Statewide Transit - Oriented Development Study), Urban Ecology (Blueprint for a Sustainable Bay Area), the Greenbelt Alliance, the American Planning Association and others support Alameda's determination that transit - oriented, mixed use development is critical to the successful redevelopment of Alameda Point. 2. In response to these policies, the City Council through its preparation of the 2006 PDC stipulated that future development of plans for Alameda Point should include preparation of an economic development strategy for Alameda Point in order to: (1) consider Alameda Point's opportunities and constraints for attracting commercial development; (2) evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of Alameda's and the region's other existing and proposed commercial and business park areas; and (3) identify how best to position Alameda Point competitively for future commercial and business park development in order to maximize job generation and to ensure a truly mixed -use community. The ability and willingness to implement this strategy was one of the criteria for selection of the Master Developer for Alameda Point. 3. Notwithstanding the requirement of these plans, and despite repeated requests by Alameda, the Modified OEA has no such plan or strategy for the commercial components of the Proposed Project: it provides a maximum (but no minimum) development envelope for commercial buildings and a list of permitted and conditionally permitted non - residential uses. There is no certainty regarding the amount and type of commercial development and the resulting impact on the jobs /housing balance. 4. For the redevelopment of a mixed -use community at Alameda Point to be successful, a development plan must include a well - considered economic development strategy and commercial business plan. A successful economic development strategy that can attract new businesses to occupy the former Navy buildings will be key to preserving the historic resources on the property. Ensuring a mix of jobs, housing, and services is vital to ensuring the economic health of both the local and regional economy and to minimizing traffic congestion and air quality impacts locally and regionally. creating such jobs requires a comprehensive and well- designed economic development strategy. Particularly in the current economic climate, a comprehensive economic development plan is essential to creating a successful mixed-use development, and should be an integral part of the overall plan rather than an afterthought or a simple zoning designation. The absence of such any such plan is a critical flaw in the Modified OEA. C. Transportation Planning and Traffic Impacts 1. The redevelopment of Alameda Point also presents a unique opportunity to create a comprehensive and integrated transportation system that not only serves future residents and employees at Alameda Point, but also improves the citywide transportation system for all residents of Alameda. The transportation plan for Alameda Point is a key component of the project. Land use and transportation must be two equal parts of a whole plan for Alameda Point given the transportation constraints confronted by Alameda, as an island city. 2. The 1996 Community Reuse Plan and the 2003 General Plan Amendment identify transportation as one of the greatest constraints affecting redevelopment of Alameda Point. The City's transportation system is severely constrained and there is little capacity in the transportation system to add more housing which adds vehicles to the already constrained AM outbound and inbound PM commutes. Section 9.1 of the General Plan provides that redevelopment should promote the use of alternative modes of transportation to reduce present and future traffic congestion, and General Plan Policy 9.2e expressly requires new development to be transit - oriented. 3. The Modified OEA, as well as SunCal's previous planning documents, have done little or nothing to advance these policies or build on previous transportation planning efforts. Among other elements, the proposed BRT and ferry improvements and services are likely to be crucial in ensuring that the final phases of the project are completed. However, the Modified OEA is not based on any new transportation studies and has made little to no progress addressing any of the key issues regarding BRT that have been pending since 2006, including preferred alignments (instead referencing staff's preferred alignment), location of dedicated and queue - jumping lanes, operation of the BRT system in Oakland, operating entities, and system costs and financing. 4. The Modified OEA likewise fails to address key issues regarding ferry service, including ridership projections; ferry terminal relocation, amenities and construction and maintenance costs; funding requirements and operational subsidies; the sustainability of a bifurcated Oakland /Alameda ferry service; and obtaining preliminary support for a plan from WETA. 5. The Modified OEA does not adequately address these complex transportation issues. Based upon the 2003 General Plan Amendment EI R and the 2010 analysis evaluating the traffic impacts of Measure B, it can be determined that the proposed project is not compatible with the capacity of the transportation system and will result in severe congestion and delays for automobiles and other forms of transit, with associated significant air quality impacts. D. Wildlife Refuge Impact Area 1. The General Plan requires that development be consistent with preservation of the Wildlife Refuge Impact Area (General Plan Policies 9.3.k, 9.3m, and 9.30). One of the last habitats for the endangered California Least Tern is located on the former runways of Alameda Point. All previous plans and policies for Alameda Point have endorsed the protection of the least tern habitat at Alameda Point consistent with the recommendations of the United States Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS), as determined by their 1999 Biological Opinion (BO). 2. According to the USFWS BO, a portion along the western edge of the master - developer footprint (Buffer Zone) should not include buildings and residential uses that will result in potential noise, lighting, and predator impacts to the endangered birds and their fledglings. Notwithstanding these plans, policies and recommendations, the Modified DEA proposes to build homes in this Buffer Zone. The land use plan in the Modified OEA is thereby in conflict with General Plan Policies 9.3k, 9.3m, and 9.3o, which prohibit residential development in areas deemed necessary to protect endangered species. E. Financial Fe asibility 1 The ENA provides that a pro forma shall be prepared for the project, which shall show the internal rate of return (IRR) to SunCal for the project and shall reflect that, subject to Alameda's provision of certain public financing to be determined in Alameda's sole discretion, the pro forma for the project shall provide for future fiscal neutrality for Alameda and shall preserve the current fiscal neutrality with respect to Alameda's General Fund, including funding for normal and customary municipal services, such as police and fire. 2. After receipt of SunCal's proposed project pro forma in April 2010, Alameda contracted with a real estate economics consulting firm, Economic & Planning Systems (EPS), to evaluate the project pro forma, including a review of the residential market assumptions that serve as the basis for the amount and timing of revenue projections in the project pro forma and a financial feasibility analysis to evaluate the effects of changes to the pro forma on project feasibility. Alameda also contracted with EPS for preparation of a fiscal impact analysis to determine whether the proposed development would achieve Alameda's policy of fiscal neutrality, balancing the City's cost of providing municipal services against public revenues generated by the project. 3. EPS's conclusions following this review are summarized in three reports - the Alameda Point Pro Forma Market Review dated May 27, 2010 (EPS Market Report), the Alameda Point Financial Feasibility Analysis dated June 2010 (EPS Financial Feasibility Report) and the Alameda Point Public Services Analysis dated June 2010 (EPS Fiscal Report) - and in a memorandum from EPS, dated June 29, 2010, responding to SunCal's comments on the EPS Market Report. EPS and staff determined that SunCal's Project Pro Forma reflected a number of overly optimistic assumptions regarding future base home sales prices, price premiums, appreciation in home prices, direct construction costs, cost escalation, key transportation and infrastructure costs and infrastructure construction contingency, which were not supported by sound data and analysis. These overly optimistic projections, which did not take into account significant changes in the real estate market in recent years, resulted in overestimating project revenues and underestimating project costs. 4. In the EPS Fiscal Report, EPS also determined that revenues dedicated to Public -Works related services would be insufficient to fully fund costs of road - related maintenance, urban runoff and sewer services, and other service costs related to the project. EPS concluded that these shortfalls, which could reach nearly $5 million annually at buildout, would require mitigation measures, such as payments from SunCal and funding from assessments specific to Alameda Point, and could adversely affect Citywide maintenance services, if the project is infeasible. 5. Based upon the findings of the EPS Financial Feasibility Report, it can also be determined that there is a high risk to the community of Alameda that the project will not be able to adequately fund the annual operating costs to provide the transportation services necessary for the project. Without adequate financial support for transit services on an annual basis, the project will result in unacceptable congestion and related air quality impacts as project residents are required to use their personal automobiles instead of using alternative transportation services provided by the project. This additional congestion and air quality impacts will be a detriment to the quality of life for all Alameda residents dependant on the limited available capacity of the existing transportation system. 6. Suncal has had the opportunity to review EPS's reports and recommendations and to prepare and present its own financial analyses to EPS, Alameda staff and the governing boards of Alameda. This process has resulted in modification of some of the assumptions in the Suncal project proforma, but there remain significant discrepancies between SunCal's revenue and cost projections and those projected by EPS. EPS has determined that if more realistic assumptions regarding project revenues and costs were substituted for those in SunCal's project pro forma, the result would be an IRR on the project substantially below the minimum required by Suncal, as reflected in the ENA. EPS also conducted sensitivity analysis to determine the impact on project feasibility if the market experienced stronger- than - expected recovery and/or the project commanded higher - than - expected home prices and home premiums or experienced lower- than - projected costs. Even with these more optimistic assumptions, the resulting return on investment would still be substantially lower than the 20 -25 percent 1RR deemed minimally necessary by SunCal. 7. Based upon EPS's evaluation, and analysis by Alameda's staff, and after due consideration of SunCal's responses to EPS's conclusions, Alameda has serious concerns about the financial viability and fiscal neutrality of the Proposed Project. There is considerable risk that the Modified OEA will not be able to support the proposed transportation improvements and program, public benefits, fiscal neutrality, as well as a significant land payment to the Navy. 8. SunCal's financial projections also rely on the assumption that 100% of all available housing and non - housing redevelopment tax increment financing (in excess of $200 million) will be dedicated exclusively to this project, a discretionary determination that that could be affected by future State takeaways or future discretionary decisions made by Alameda's governing bodies and whose outcome could well prove to be inconsistent with SunCal's assumptions. 9. SunCal has not provided financial guarantees reasonably necessary to assure Alameda and the community that the project will be carried out as planned. Section 3.6 of the ENA recognizes the importance of having a financially secure developer or developer partner. Section 3.6.4 requires "ajppropriate financial assurances, which may include performance and payment guarantees, to assure development of conveyed phases." 10 In light of the serious discrepancies between the project pro forma and the opinions of Alameda's professional consultants and staff, and in the absence of financial guarantees from SunCal that the project will be carried out as approved, the Proposed Project presents an unacceptable financial risk for Alameda, which could lead to additional costs to Alameda and unacceptable conditions that are detrimental to the general welfare of the community. The Proposed Project could expose the City of Alameda and the residents of Alameda to significant risks, including, (1) that SunCal cannot provide the financing commitments necessary to implement the Proposed Project and, as a result, does not proceed with development of the site; (2) that SunCal commences construction, but the Proposed Project does not perform to the levels projected in the project pro forma, and, therefore, future phases of development are abandoned, or (3) that SunCal develops the Project, but because the performance of the Project was significantly below projections in the project pro forma, public benefits and transportation improvements are not delivered to the levels committed, shifting burdens to the community while depriving it of the promised benefits. I n light of the overwhelming defeat in February 2010 of Measure B, which proposed a project substantially similar to the Modified OEA; the substantial uncertainties regarding the size, type and timing of the project that will ultimately be built; the absence of key planning elements required by applicable City policies, including an economic development strategy and a comprehensive transportation plan; the conflicts with goals and policies in the General Plan and Community Reuse Plan; and the financial uncertainties and risks of the Modified OEA and the lack of appropriate financial guarantees. and based upon review and consideration of the applicable documents, the input of SunCal and the public, and after due consideration and deliberation regarding SunCal's application for approval of the Modified OEA, the City Council has determined that the application for Project Entitlements should be denied. THEREFORE BE IT RESOLVED that the City Council of the City of Alameda hereby denies the Modified OEA, including the proposed General Plan Amendment, Zoning Amendment, Master Plan, and Development Agreement (PLN1 0- 0012). 1, the undersigned, hereby certify that the foregoing Resolution was duly and regularly adopted and passed by the Council of the City of Alameda during the Regular Meeting of the City Council on the 20th day of July, 2010, by the following vote to wit: AYES: Councilmembers deHaan, Gilmore, Matarrese and Mayor Johnson - 4. NOES: None. ABSENT: None. ABSTENTIONS: Counciimember Tam - 1. IN WITNESS, WHEREOF, I have hereunto set my hand and affixed the official seal of said City this 21 day of July, 2010. Lara Weisiger, City clerk city of Alameda